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SportsInsights.com Article -- 2010 World Cup Update (June 24, 2010)
The U.S. has made the "knockout" portion of the 2010 World Cup
Tournament with a dramatic 91st minute goal in their last game of the
round-robin. With the U.S.'s appearance in the elimination part of the
tournament, interest in the World Cup will heat up. Below are some
statistics for the tournament games, to date. SportsInsights.com
is pleased to announce the availability of valuable betting information
for this year's World Cup Tournament in South Africa. Members
should go into their Account Settings (Sports Tab) and add World Cup
(under Soccer) to receive this information.
2010 World Cup - Knockout Round
When the Knockout Round begins, there will no longer be ties. Teams
will be eliminated according to rules in the FIFA (French: Federation
Internationale de Football Association) Rulebook:
"If, after 90 minutes, a match ends in a draw, extra time
of two periods of 15 minutes each will be played. If the score is
level after extra time, penalty kicks will be taken to determine the
winner in accordance with the procedure described in the Laws of the
Game."
Note that the overtime periods are NOT sudden death.
Recap about World Cup: The World Cup is the most-watched
sporting event in the world. Depending on who makes the final, between
1 and 2 billion people will watch the World Cup Final. Compare this to
the 100-200 million that watch the Super Bowl! Here are some facts
about the format of the tournament:
- 32 teams qualified for the tournament. The qualification
process took almost three years and included more than 200 national
teams.
- The teams are organized into eight (8) groups of four (4) teams
each.
- Each group plays a round-robin from June 11-June 25.
- The top two teams of each group make it to the knockout portion
of the tournament -- the Round of 16 (begins June 26).
- The Final will be played on July 11.
Some Stats as of Games through 6/23/2010
There have been 40 games played since the World Cup started on June
11, 2010. Soccer betting is new to many US based members, so
SportsInsights.com's analysts took a quick look at the games to give our
Members a better idea of what has happened. The common bets are to pick
the game to end in a draw, a team to win, or sometimes a small spread
(such as Team A -0.5 goals). Here are how the games have played out
since the tournament started.
| Game Results |
Number of Occurrences |
| Games Tied |
11 (27.5%) |
| Games Decided by 1 Goal |
18 (45.0 %) |
| Games Decided by 2 or more Goals |
11 (27.5%) |
World Cup sports bettors can also bet on the total of the game.
(total number of goals scored by both teams) Most totals are set at
Over or Under 2.5 goals, with the odds being adjusted slightly depending
on the teams. Note that the lines/rules will change once the Knockout
round begins (due to overtime and shootouts). Below are the game totals
results since the World Cup began. SportsInsights.com has often
stated that taking "Under" has value and the 2010 World Cup is proving
this to be true so far.
| Totals Results |
Number of Occurrences |
| (Under) 2 Goals or Under |
28 (70.0%) |
| (Over) 3 Goals or Over |
12 (30.0%) |
Disclaimer
We do not guarantee that the trends and biases we’ve found will continue
to exist. It is impossible to predict the future. Any serious academic
research in the field of “market efficiencies” recognizes that
inefficiencies may disappear over time. Once inefficiencies are
discovered, it is only a matter of time before the market corrects
itself. We do not guarantee our data is error-free. However, we’ve tried
our best to make sure every score and percentage is correct. The
information on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes
only. Use of this information in violation of any federal, state, or
local laws is prohibited. |